Tuesday, November 06, 2007

What about the Clinton campaign is inevitable?

Whoa, Nellie and buckle your seatbelts, Fighting Ed Garvey isn't sure that the Democrats are going to win in 2008. That cow hasn't left the barn and the fat lady hasn't sung. The fat cats might use all their dirty money to get in the hen house and steal the election from folks like "us." Ed don't believe in riches, but you should see where he lives.

But hold your horses! Ed might be right on this one. At least on the Dems not winning. John Edwards attack ad on Hilary Clinton - an extraordinary montage of real and exaggerated (he is John Edwards) duplicity may have demonstrated something that most Democrats fear. It is far from certain that this woman can ever be elected President. The problem is not so much that she dissembles. Every candidate does that. It's that she seems bound and determined to do it so transparently. It is hard to think of a successful candidate as unlikeable and patently insincere since Nixon and the exposure of presidential candidates has multiplied geometrically since then.

It depends on what the GOP does and you can never count the Clintons out, but I'm having a hard time envisioning a Clinton win over Giuliani.

6 comments:

  1. "It depends on what the GOP does and you can never count the Clintons out, but I'm having a hard time envisioning a Clinton win over Giuliani."

    This is exactly it. Rudi would beat Hillary. She would beat every other GOP candidate. That's my guess anyway.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous3:47 PM

    Nice Garvey parody. That guy is a joke. Only in a place like Madison could he be taken seriously.

    ReplyDelete
  3. JJAWM is wrong.

    Thompson could beat her. Ruuuudeeee! could beat her. Romney? Not likely--it's a standoff of plastic people.

    McCain would wipe the floor with her, but he's not getting the nomination.

    I think Huckabee could beat her, but he has a Himalaya to climb just to get there.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Thompson? Fred Thompson? The actor? Really Daddio?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Rudi would beat Hillary.
    There has yet to be a single national poll suggesting anything like this. There has yet to be a single set of state-by-state polling to suggest anything like this.

    Rudy claims that he can make states that are hard to win for the GOP competitiive, but there is just not data to support that.

    A year out, of course, things can change. But I don't see any reason to claim this about Rudy--absent polling data--and not about anyone else.

    ReplyDelete
  6. There has yet to be a single national poll suggesting anything like this

    Jay, that's just wrong. Clinton has ran a bit ahead of Giuliani in most (but not all) recent polls, but I think she has negatives that are going to be very hard to overcome once the game starts.

    ReplyDelete