Wednesday, September 13, 2006

Profound Prognostication

Dennis York points out that Lautenschlager waxed Kathleen Falk in Dane County, but still lost statewide. I haven't had a chance to look at the numbers, but this implies a fairly solid margin for Falk elsewhere. Does this suggest that this was more of an anti-Lautenschlager vote? Falk loses her base, but wins elsewhere. Was her win driven, in the end, by the drunk driving arrest to the near exclusion of all else? And, if that's the case, what are her chances against Van Hollen? Kathleen, who is a nice person and a very good lawyer, has some real left liberal baggage that won't play well much beyond University Heights. I do not know what lies in store for the GOP nationwide, but, here in purple Wisconsin, the Republicans might own both houses of the legislature and all but one constitutional office. Doug LaFollette may be the ranking Dem in state government.

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