You hate to put up a blog post that becomes immediately dated, but isn't this the thing in the Supreme Court race? Kloppenburg has nontrivial lead (12k votes as I write) and presumably some more votes to gather in that there are still precincts out in Dane and Milwaukee. Her margin in Dane is staggering.
But there are lots of precincts in Waukesha that are out and a goodly number in Washington where Prosser's margin is staggering. And out sits all of Fond du Lac which went handily for Gableman. There are some other places for Kloppenburg to do business but the upside seems better for Prosser. Can he make it up?