So when I was last here, I suggested that conservatives should not
believe that the sky is falling. Since then, I have completed
Sean Trende's fascinating book, The Lost Majority. Trende
argues that political coalitions are inherently unstable - they require
bringing together incompatible groups - and that there are no permanent
victories in politics. He does a nice job of illustrating how narrow the
Democratic coalition is (you can say the same thing about the GOP) and
the closeness of three of our last four elections along with the
dramatic swings in the midterms (compare 2006 with 2010) bears that out.
But to say that things are not awful for conservatives is not to say
that they are just fine. Reexamination is in order. The Democrats did
not turn things around until they addressed their weaknesses. Bill
Clinton was a New Democrat - one who learned to adopt his party's
traditional commitment to larger government to reflect current political
reality. This entailed some substantive changes - ending welfare as we
knew it and pursuing a more assertive foreign policy - and some
repackaging of what were essentially the same positions - abortion
should be safe, legal and rare.
I can think of three things that conservatives need to think hard
about. But we should begin with a caveat. The party who loses an
election should be loathe to take advice from the partisans of the
winners. They don't really wish you well.
So I am not quite ready to get on board with all those well meaning
folks on the left who think that the Republicans should throw the social
conservatives under the bus. While Republicans cannot abandon their
commitment to traditional values, they must understand that many people
have a more nuanced view of how those values are lived and that too much
of GOP rhetoric seems to ignore that. I don't believe that the GOP
should cease being a pro-life party but it cannot appear to be
censorious or extreme. One of the most effective things that the
pro-life movement ever did was run the ads of women explaining how they
came to be opposed to abortion. The ads treated women as moral agents
and not subjects to be controlled.
There is a sense in which the Republicans got a raw deal this
election cycle. Rick Santorum, Richard Mourdock and Todd Akin were not
nominees for national office. But the Democrats did a masterful - if
nasty and misleading - job of using them to taint the GOP brand. This
didn't move a lot of votes but it moved some. In close elections, every
vote matters.
The Democrats strove mightily to create issues
that did not exist. Republicans were not proposing to outlaw
contraceptions and the notion that they would become "unaffordable"
unless religious dissenters were forced to pay for them was a nifty bit
of distortion.
Yet Republicans let them get away with it. They
have, I think, spent so much time talking to social conservatives that
many have forgotten how to talk about social issues in a way that
doesn't assume the conclusion. Too many conservatives have forgotten how to address these issues with persuasion and not condemnation and condescension. They have forgotten the humility and kindness which is also a religious value.
There
is a great irony here. Republicans are castigated by the left for
insisting on tradiitonal values but, as Charles Murray demonstrated in
his recent book, Coming Apart, the upper middle class members
on the left recognize how important those values are to well being and
live their lives accordingly.
Cross posted at Purple Wisconsin
122 comments:
I love how you always write about politics as if only the other party uses misleading and dirty tactics.
I wonder if you actually believe that. I find it extremely hard to believe you do; but considering how impervious you are to contradicting information, I can't dismiss it out of hand.
What, now conservatives and Republicans are the same thing? It seems like they're different when convenient. "No true Scotsman" believes in X!
Nuance? Misleading? There's plenty to talk about when it comes to rape and incest. Go ahead, refine your brand.
Republicans need to use common sense. Every candidate needs to prioritize. Abortion is a state's rights issue. The Federal Government should not fund it. No matter the question, this is the statement.
I think it's time to decrease funding of our military. Republicans should let the Sequestration through along with the the elimination of the Bush tax cuts. Why should Democrats continue to ride on Bush's accomplishments? If your serious about spending cuts, be serious.
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Speaking as a perhaps-idiosyncratic liberal, social conservatism is the only part of the Republican Party that I like. (O, for a pro-life witness within the Democratic Party!)
It's the economic libertarianism and anti-environmentalism that I disagree with, to say nothing of the war-mongering.
I'd also note that politics is a terrible engine for promoting or defending the values normally associated with social conservatism. With the exception of the legallly-mandated abortion license, all of the successes and defeats of social conservatism have been driven almost entirely by cultural changes outside the realm of politics. (To take one example, the Democratic Party pretty obviously wanted nothing to do with SSM, until it already had majority support.)
"The party who loses an election should be loathe to take advice from the partisans of the winners. They don't really wish you well."
Exactly why citizens, especially our youngsters, have a disdain for political party machinations, D or R. Perhaps this "advice" is couched in an effort to bridge the gap between groups, rather than a blatant attempt to thumb its collective nose at compromise.
"I don't believe that the GOP should cease being a pro-life party but it cannot appear to be censorious or extreme."
And as long as social hardliners have the ear of the (R) party, who cater to their agenda, the words and actions by some of its members will continue to be injurious to the long-term health of the GOP.
"Rick Santorum, Richard Mourdock and Todd Akin were not nominees for national office. But the Democrats did a masterful - if nasty and misleading - job of using them to taint the GOP brand."
I think you did that all by yourself, professor, especially regarding Santorum.
http://sharkandshepherd.blogspot.com/2012/01/santorums-time.html
"Too many conservatives have forgotten how to address these issues with persuasion and not condemnation and condescension. They have forgotten the humility and kindness which is also a religious value."
Hello, professor, anyone home? A number of social conservatives will NOT "tone down" the rhetoric specifically because they believe they are in the right, i.e. they have the moral high ground. Why should they want to blunt their criticism of gay marriage and abortion...surely you jest to win elections!
Hey Rick, when is the article coming out about how despite all reports, there really isn't any evidence that Scott Walker was involved in using county taxpayer resources for his gubernatorial campaign, how it's all circumstantial, and all the other goofy justifications you can muster?
Need some entertainment here...
Social conservatives got nowhere else to go. You're stuck with 'em. And as long as folks like Mourdock, Akin, Sharron Angle, and Christine O'Donnell keep winning Republican primaries, the people will get to choose. And the electorate is smarter than RoJo thinks. The question is whether at some point libertarian voters, including the young people who got excited about Ron Paul, decide to bolt the GOP. At some point tainted brands go out of business.
Yeah, how about that Scott Walker guy, heh? Make sure there aren't any documents around that reveal flaws in the parking structure. Wouldn't want anybody to find those, would we.
You should stick to legal mumbo jumbo. Your political opinions are extremely disingenuous.
Gee.
Ron Reagan, who was a social and fiscal conservative--and loudly proclaimed it--blew away Jimmuh and Wally.
Since then, the Stupid Party has run ...oh, yeah..the one-term G Bush, Bob "Compromise" Dole, the barely-two-term GHWBush, and the Disdainful Me-ist McPain.
Then they chose a technocrat with no apparent social principles.
There is a pattern. And it has to do with clear, forceful, communication.
Um, Dad29, you ultimately supported Romney over Obama in your blog postings, correct? I also assume you voted for him as well.
So YOU are part of the problem, so-called principled conservative, by endorsing RINO's!
Oh, yes.
The Paulbot spew!
Thanks, Dad29, for being the adult in the room for admitting your hypocrisy (you support RINOs when they are politically expedient, even if it means compromising your conservative principles) with your 8:52 p.m. comment. That was mighty noble of you to take that first step.
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